One on One: Tracy McGrady vs Joe Johnson

It's time to bring back the distinguished "One on One" column, where we take too similar fantasy basketball players and compare and contrast the two based on the numbers.  All statistics are based on the 2006-2007 season.
 

Today's matchup:  Tracy McGrady vs Joe Johnson
 

First off, and you'll probably hear me preaching about this a lot, when you're talking about anything fantasy, it's important to communicate how the scoring structure of your league works. For our purposes, I'm going to assume we're talking about rotisserie using Yahoo Fantasy Sport's default scoring system (why? because I think it's the best...that's why). The stat cats being points, rebounds, assists, 3's made, blocks, steals, fg%, ft% and to's.
 

In roto, you're looking to compare players stat-by-stat, since roto is really designed to level the playing field of statistics (for instance, by roto standards if a player gets about 2 steals per game, it's the equivalent in steals of a player scoring about 20-25 points per game).
 

So, let's compare stats.
 

Points per game:

Tracy McGrady 24.6
Joe Johnson 25.0
 

Rebounds per game:

Tracy McGrady 5.3
Joe Johnson 4.2
 

Assists per game:

Tracy McGrady 6.5
Joe Johnson 4.4
 

Blocks:

Tracy McGrady 0.5
Joe Johnson 0.2

  

Steals:

Tracy McGrady 1.3
Joe Johnson 1.1
 

3s made:

Tracy McGrady 1.8
Joe Johnson 2.1
 

FG% (and FG's attempted per game):

Tracy McGrady 43.1%/20.9 attempts
Joe Johnson 47.1%/20.0 attempts
 

FT% (and FT's attempted per game):

Tracy McGrady 70.7%/6.9 attempts

Joe Johnson 74.8%/5.5 attempts
 

Turnovers:

Tracy McGrady 3.0
Joe Johnson 3.1
 

Games played in '06-'07:

Tracy McGrady 71
Joe Johnson 57
 

The Verdict:

Tracy McGrady wins.

 

The verdict is extremely close, but McGrady gets a big edge over Johnson by playing more games and dishing out over two more assists per game.
 

Johnson had a breakout season last year until falling to injuries.  Still, he's the go-to-guy on a bad Hawks team.  His versatility suggests he could increase his boards and assists. 

 

Both players are able to takeover a game.  However, the key to fantasy basketball value is consistency.  McGrady needs to boost his field goal percentage, especially with the high volume of shots he attempts per contest.  If field goal percentage is a big concern of yours, Johnson gives you a slightly better chance.




Good points

Johnson became more of a scorer last season, but saw a big drop in assists from the prior season when he averaged over 6 per game.  You make a good point about T-Mac being more injury prone over the last few seasons.  Still, given his situation with Yao in the middle, I think it means more assists for T-Mac (as was the case this past year). 



Based on 2006-7 returns,

Based on 2006-7 returns, McGrady takes the victory.

 

But consider that Johnson had 4 straight seasons of 82 games played before 06-07 and no chronic injuries. McGrady has averaged just over 70 games since his breakout in Orlando 7 seasons ago, and he he has a proven risk of back injuries.

 

I was rather surprised to see JJ's (relatively) low assist rate!